‘Backsliding’: most countries to miss vital climate deadline as Cop30 nears

"Governments are working to blueprints set out four years ago that would result in temperature rises of 2.6C to 2.8C by the end of the century.."
February 8, 2025
"See you at COP30" "See you at COP30 (cop29d7812)" by IAEA Imagebank is licensed under CC BY 2.0

From The Guardian - Climate Change

Summary

The upcoming COP30 summit is expected to see a significant number of countries fail to meet critical climate deadlines, raising concerns about the global commitment to tackling climate change. Despite the urgency of the climate crisis, the United Nations has emphasized the importance of quality over speed in national plans for emissions reductions. Current targets are insufficient to meet the 1.5°C temperature limit, necessitating a drastic reduction in carbon emissions within the decade.

Developing nations are urging major polluters, especially the G20, to take immediate action, as geopolitical tensions and the potential return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency further complicate climate diplomacy. Key nations like China and India hold pivotal roles in shaping the effectiveness of future climate initiatives, yet their commitments remain uncertain amidst internal and external pressures. The report stresses the need for enhanced international cooperation and the urgency of addressing not just carbon emissions but also methane, which poses significant climate risks.

Highlights

  • 🌍 Global Climate Deadline Looms: Most countries are likely to miss the critical deadline for submitting climate action plans.
  • ⏳ Quality Over Speed: UN officials stress that the quality of national climate targets is more important than simply meeting deadlines.
  • 🔥 Urgency for Emissions Cuts: A cut of about 50% in carbon emissions is needed this decade to meet the 1.5°C target.
  • 🇨🇳 China’s Role is Crucial: As the world’s largest emitter, China’s climate policies will significantly influence global emissions trajectories.
  • 🇮🇳 India’s Ambiguous Commitments: India is expected to focus on emissions intensity rather than absolute reductions, complicating international expectations.
  • ⚡ Methane Emissions Critical: Addressing methane emissions can provide a quick, significant impact on slowing global warming.
  • 🤝 Need for Enhanced Cooperation: Developing nations are calling for stronger leadership and collaboration from wealthier countries to meet climate goals.

The vast majority of governments are likely to miss a looming deadline to file vital plans that will determine whether or not the world has a chance of avoiding the worst ravages of climate breakdown.

Despite the urgency of the crisis, the UN is relatively relaxed at the prospect of the missed date. Officials are urging countries instead to take time to work harder on their targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions and divest from fossil fuels.

Simon Stiell, the UN’s top climate official, said in a speech in Brazil on Thursday: “Because these national plans are among the most important policy documents governments will produce this century, their quality should be the paramount consideration … Taking a bit more time to ensure these plans are first-rate makes sense, properly outlining how they will contribute to this effort [to tackle the climate crisis] and therefore what rewards they will reap.”

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Read the full post at The Guardian - Climate Change.

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