World’s top climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target

"The Guardian approached every contactable lead author or review editor of IPCC reports since 2018. Almost half replied, 380 of 843."
May 8, 2024

From The Guardian - Climate Change

Summary

  • An exclusive Guardian survey of leading climate scientists revealed that almost 80% predict global temperatures will rise at least 2.5C this century, causing catastrophic consequences.
  • Many scientists envision a future filled with famines, conflicts, and extreme weather events if action is not taken immediately to address climate change.
  • While there is a lack of political will and influence from vested interests hindering progress, experts emphasize the importance of continuing the fight against climate change to reduce human suffering.


Hundreds of the world’s leading climate scientists expect global temperatures to rise to at least 2.5C (4.5F) this century, blasting past internationally agreed targets and causing catastrophic consequences for humanity and the planet, an exclusive Guardian survey has revealed.

Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels,, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met.

Many of the scientists envisage a “semi-dystopian” future, with famines, conflicts and mass migration, driven by heatwaves, wildfires, floods and storms of an intensity and frequency far beyond those that have already struck.

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Read the full post at The Guardian - Climate Change.

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